10月末,BTC网络挖矿力下降

在过去三个月的持续增长之后,随着中国夏季雨季的结束,BTC网络的算力有所下降。

根据Poolin的数据,自10月24日以来,BTC的7天平均计算能力从97.90 EH/s下降到90 EH/s左右。Poolin的联合创始人Chris Zhu在最近的一篇微信帖子中表示,下降的一个主要原因是中国今年雨季的逐渐结束。

中国四川省的一些水电站再无能力提供足够的能源来支持加密采矿活动。没有足够水电供应的加密矿工将不得不关闭他们的业务。另一种选择是迁往新疆或内蒙古等其他省份,那里的采矿场拥有稳定但更昂贵的化石燃料发电厂的电力供应。

下降的信号表明,部分矿工已经从BTC网络的退出。此前的估计到今年年底,BTC算力将超过100 EH/s阈值。由于网络算力下降,矿池服务BTC.com的数据预测,比特币的难度将在大约7天内发生变化,届时将降低1.5%。

10月24日,BTC的开采难度达到13.69万亿的新高,自8月初以来增长了38%。这一增长主要是由于中国西南各省大量而廉价的水力发电导致矿工哈希发电量增加。

Hashage首席执行官Xun Zhen回应了Zhu的评论。Zhen先生补充道,即使仍然能找到水力发电资源,但成本已经从夏季每千瓦时0.04美元上涨到现在的0.05美元左右。

此外,BTC在10月23日突然跌破7500美元,可能导致像AntMiner S9这样的老牌但广泛使用的挖矿模式大规模停产。S9的盈亏平衡点是7000美元到7500美元之间。一些公司,如Pooling的姊妹公司INBTC,正在探索如何通过将两个单元合并为一个单元来延长S9矿工的寿命,以试图产生更高的算力与电力消耗的比率。这种方法是否大规模上可行还有待观察。

随着对BTC的热情衰减,盈利能力的下降,比特币SV挖矿的盈利能力继续提高。

After sustained increases over the past three months, hashing power on the BTC network dropped as the summer rainy season end in China.     According to data from Poolin, BTC’s seven-day average computing power dropped from 97.90 EH/s to around 90 (EH/s) since Oct. 24. Poolin's co-founder Chris Zhu stated in a recent WeChat post that one main reason for the decline is obviously the gradual end of this year's rainy season in China.      Some hydropower stations in China's Sichuan province no longer have the capacity to generate enough energy to support crypto mining activities. Crypto miners without sufficient hydropower supply would have to shut down their operations. The alternative is to relocate to other provinces like Xinjiang or Inner Mongolia, where mining farms have a  stable, but more expensive power supply generated from fossil fuel plants.     The drop signals that some miners have unplugged from the BTC network. Previously, it had been estimated that the BTC hash rate would go above the 100 EH/s threshold by the end of the year. As a result of the power drop in the network, data from mining pool service BTC.com predicts that bitcoin's difficulty will decrease by 1.5 percent when it's set to change in about seven days.       BTC’s mining difficulty had reached an all-time high at 13.69 trillion on Oct. 24, following a 38 percent increase since early August. The rise was attributed primarily to an increase in miners' hashing power made possible by the abundant and inexpensive hydroelectricity in China's southwestern provinces.       Hashage's CEO, Xun Zhen, echoed Zhu's comments. Zhen added that even if some still can find a hydropower resource, the cost has gone up from $0.04 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) in the summer to around $0.05 now.      Moreover, BTC’s sudden price drop below $7,500 on Oct. 23 to could have sparked a massive scale shutdown of older but widely used mining models like the AntMiner S9. The S9's break-even price point is between $7,000 to $7,500.  Some, such as INBTC, a sister company of Poolin, are exploring how to extend the life of the S9 miner by merging two units into one in an attempt to generate a higher ratio of hashing power over electricity consumption. It remains to be seen if this approach works on a large scale.       As enthusiasm for BTC has faltered and the profitability has decreased, mining Bitcoin SV continues to improve in profitability.

如上图所示,随着比特币SV节点团队继续致力于恢复原始比特币白皮书中概述的协议,BSV网上的盈利性一直在上升。随着生态系统转向交易费用作为收入的主要驱动因素,BSV节点上区块大小的增加对矿工来说非常有益。随着BSV交易量的继续提升,预计矿业盈利能力将稳步上升。开发人员的“兴趣”变成了一场“行动”的海啸,进而产生了越来越多的交易以及随之而来的费用。

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